Nuclear plans still on course

Updated: 2012-11-02 10:24

By Diao Ying (China Daily)

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Nuclear plans still on course 

The British Energy Hunterston "B" nuclear power station near Largs in west Scotland. David Moir / Reuters

UK aims for lower carbon footprint with more clean energy generation

Nuclear power, once labeled as the cleanest and most efficient source of energy, appeared to be on its way out after the Fukushima disaster in Japan last year.

The axe certainly looked like falling when major nuclear powers like Germany (which accounts for 5 percent of the total nuclear energy produced in the world) and Japan announced scale-backs and complete withdrawals from the sector.

But the dark clouds were somewhat dissipated this year after China decided to press ahead with its nuclear plant construction, and joined other nations, such as South Korea, to actively scout for overseas investment opportunities in the nuclear sector.

In Europe, it has, however, been a mixed bag for nuclear energy. Though France continues to be a major force in nuclear technology, it is the energy goal planned by the UK that has given the industry the much-needed impetus. The UK's energy goal is to have a mix of renewables with fossil fuels and nuclear power to ensure a secure, clean and affordable supply of energy.

"For the UK to meet its energy and climate change objectives, the government believes that there is an urgent need for a new electricity generation plan, including new nuclear power," said the National Policy Statement for Energy released in July 2011. Nuclear energy will play an increasingly important role as the UK diversifies its sources of electricity and reduces the carbon usage in its economy, the statement said.

Justifying its leaning toward nuclear power, the policy document says that nuclear power is economically more competitive than other forms of power generation and is also the least expensive form of low carbon electricity generation.

Currently, the British economy is largely reliant on fossil fuels, with 75 percent of the power coming from burning natural gas and coal. Most of the houses in the UK have gas central heating, while public transport is almost entirely dependent on oil.

Apart from being non eco-friendly, there are also inadequate supplies of the two fuels in the long run. It is estimated that fossil fuels will not be as affordable as today by 2050.

"We can expect fossil fuels to be scarcer, but still in demand, at prices that are far higher than now. The UK's own oil and gas resources will be depleted and, worldwide, the costs and risks of extracting oil in particular will increase," the statement said.

To some extent, the policy document also explains why it perceives nuclear power as the best bet for long-term energy solutions. While nuclear power stations will more than reduce the risk of supply interruptions and provide clean, stable energy, there are adequate global stocks of the raw material - uranium - to take care of energy generation concerns.

Nuclear energy production is not dependent on gas and coal in any way, so supply disruptions to these fuels will not affect overall power generation.

The real benefit of nuclear power is that it will help avoid large hikes in electricity and gas prices. For instance, when gas prices are high, "the relatively low generation costs of nuclear power means that it can place downward pressure on the long-term wholesale prices", the document says.

The UK government also hopes that by using nuclear power it can trim the country's exposure to higher fossil fuel prices and thereby carbon emissions. UK plans to cut greenhouse gas emissions by at least 80 percent by 2050 compared with 1990. It will be impossible to reach that goal with the country's current energy structure.

It is estimated that the carbon emission from a nuclear power station is around 7 g/kWh to 22 g/kWh, similar to that from wind power and much less than a fossil-fueled plant.

With the current reliance on fossil fuels, electricity supplies are not abundant in the UK. Ofgem, UK's industry regulator, predicts that its spare electricity capacity will fall from the current 14 percent to 4 percent by 2015. About one-fifth of the country's power stations are due to retire in the next decade, and very few new ones are being built.

The lifetime of a nuclear power station is 60 years and the majority of the UK's nuclear power stations were built in the 1960s. Therefore, the government hopes that new nuclear power stations can start generating power by 2018 at the earliest.

In the national energy policy paper, it says: "It is important that new nuclear power stations are constructed and start generating as soon as possible and significantly earlier than 2025."

Energy companies in the UK have already announced that they intend to put forward proposals to develop 16 gW of new clear power generation capacity by the end of 2025, according to the Department of Energy and Climate Change. This includes 6.4 gW by EDF, the French utility; 6 gW by Horizon Nuclear Power, owned by German energy providers RWE and E.ON; and 3.6 gW by NuGeneration, a joint venture between French company GDF Suez and Iberdrola, a Spanish energy company.

The nuclear industry currently employs 44,000 people in the UK. The 16 gW of new capacity is likely to create 30,000 jobs by 2025.

The main challenge to developing new nuclear projects in the UK, however, stems from the high project costs they entail, especially at a time when the government is looking at ways to cut spending.

Given the negative sentiment against nuclear energy, some investors have now decided to drop their plans. For instance, Horizon Nuclear Power, owned by two German utilities RWE and E.ON, had planned to build nuclear reactors in Wylfa, Anglesey and Oldbury in Gloucestershire.

The two companies abandoned the plans to build these plants after Germany decided to phase out nuclear power after the Fukushima disaster. In March, they said that they are withdrawing from new nuclear investment in the UK and are selling Horizon and these sites.

"E.ON and RWE's withdrawal is clearly very disappointing, but the partners have clearly explained that this decision was based on pressure elsewhere in their businesses and not due to any doubts about the role of nuclear power in UK's energy future," Charles Hendry, the British energy minister said.

Areva, the French engineering company, said in July that it was teaming up with China Guangdong Nuclear Power Group for the bid. But both companies walked away from the bid last month, without giving any specific reasons. It was also reported that Westinghouse Electric Company, the American nuclear company owned by Japan's Toshiba, had been in talks with China's State Nuclear Power Technology for a joint bid, but later went ahead on its own without the Chinese company.

Industry experts feel that lack of incentives could be the main reason why the project is having difficulty finding any takers. Under the current energy policy, the British government plans to have a fixed price for low carbon energy. If the price is too low, energy companies may find it not worthwhile given that nuclear power is expensive to produce and entails huge investment. Vincent de Rivaz, chief executive of EDF, the French energy company, warned the British government that it might also not go ahead with its nuclear power station project in the UK.

Chinese investors, however, still remain keen on making further investments in the sector. Jin Liqun, chairman of the board of supervisors of China Investment Corp, the nation's sovereign wealth fund, said nuclear power stations is an area where China and Europe can work together. He said Europe has the technology and China has the demand, but the respective governments are cautious on cooperation due to security concerns.

Jin advocates a more open-minded approach to channel investment from China. "A lot of the concerns about the so-called national security actually have nothing to do with security. The most serious security source is the lack of growth," he said in a speech in London.

diaoying@chinadaily.com.cn

(China Daily 11/02/2012 page6)