Weakest link will determine success of muni reform
Updated: 2014-05-30 07:00
By Reuters (China Daily)
|
|||||||||||
Official estimates put local government debt at about $3 trillion, equivalent to one-third of China's annual output, and private sector estimates are even higher.
Analysts welcomed the move to develop a domestic government bond market as the start of a long-term reform that will improve financing through the economy.
"Such a market is vital to reducing the risks to China's sovereign creditworthiness stemming from local governments' use of off-balance-sheet debt," Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC analysts said in a report.
|
"The problem is whether the local governments will fully disclose their financial positions, particularly those with weak metrics. The higher the debt-to-GDP ratio, the greater the urgency for them to raise money," said Cui.
Much of that existing debt has been raised through local government financing vehicles, opaque entities that help regional authorities skirt the ban on municipal bonds. Beijing has tried to curtail the LGFVs, but the debt still needs to be serviced.
"As the central government has sought to limit bank loans to LGFVs, local governments have turned to issuing riskier, more expensive forms of debt," Debra Roane, a senior credit officer at Moody's Investors Service, said in a report.
"For example, about 8 percent of local related government debt is in trust products that are very short term and typically at interest rates higher than 9 percent."
Many local governments take out bank loans with terms shorter than the projects they are financing, resulting in a mismatch of maturities and income. The pilot tries to address that by requiring 10-year bonds to account for 30 percent of bond issues.
Related Stories
Guangdong helps kick off new era 2014-05-30 07:00
Trial program to issue 109b yuan in local govt bonds 2014-05-23 11:14
Local govts return to investment-driven growth model 2014-04-22 07:23
Local govts get more say in choice of financing tools 2014-03-06 07:18
China's direct govt debt risks controllable 2013-12-31 10:47
Local bonds set for approval 2013-12-24 09:48
Today's Top News
Vets flock to Normandy to remember D-Day
G7 'deeply concerned' about S China Sea tensions
Ukraine tightens control on border
Silk Road offers Sino-Arab blueprint
Clinton 'loves to see' female leader
US says to work with Egypt's president-elect
Oversight of military firms on rise in China
Abbott aiming to mend ties with Jakarta
Hot Topics
Lunar probe , China growth forecasts, Emission rules get tougher, China seen through 'colored lens', International board,
Editor's Picks
Long march to end employment bias |
Variety is the spice of academic life |
Documents prove the truth can't be buried |
Race to remember story of resistance |
Strait talking: From enemy to friend |
Welcome to the world’s largest garbage dump |