Morgan Stanley trims China GDP forecast
Updated: 2012-09-13 09:37
(Xinhua)
|
|||||||||||
BEIJING -- Morgan Stanley said Wednesday it has decided to trim its predictions for China's 2012 and 2013 GDP to 7.5 percent and 7.9 percent, respectively, as weaker-than-expected economic data has deflated hopes for recovery.
The adjustments are down from the firm's previous forecasts of 8 percent and 8.6 percent for 2012 and 2013, respectively.
Data released over the weekend suggested that China's industrial production and investment have continued to falter.
Industrial value-added output expanded 8.9 percent year-on-year in August, down from 9.2 percent in July and and the slowest rate since May 2009, according to figures from the National Bureau of Statistics.
Urban fixed-asset investment increased 20.2 percent year-on-year to 21.8 trillion yuan ($3.4 trillion) in the January-August period, 0.2 percentage points slower than the growth for the January-July period.
"The August data suggested that our expectation of a growth rebound in the third quarter has become less likely to materialize," the firm said in a report, adding that it expects a modest growth rebound early next year.
Meanwhile, the firm said it will remove its forecast for another interest rate cut before the year's end in light of a possible rebound in property and food prices.
Inflation in August slightly rebounded to 2 percent due to higher food prices.
Morgan Stanley said it will maintain CPI forecasts at 2.9 percent for 2012 and 3.1 percent for 2013.
Related Stories
Morgan Stanley cuts China growth forecast 2012-05-21 14:31
Measures target economic growth 2012-09-13 02:26
Toward a brighter future for the Chinese economy 2012-09-12 14:27
China's reform, opening-up contributes to world economy 2012-09-12 17:41
Premier Wen answers Qs at Davos Forum 2012-09-12 10:50
China's economy slows, confidence holds up 2012-09-12 09:51
Today's Top News
President Xi confident in recovery from quake
H7N9 update: 104 cases, 21 deaths
Telecom workers restore links
Coal mine blast kills 18 in Jilin
Intl scholarship puts China on the map
More bird flu patients discharged
Gold loses sheen, but still a safe bet
US 'turns blind eye to human rights'
Hot Topics
Lunar probe , China growth forecasts, Emission rules get tougher, China seen through 'colored lens', International board,
Editor's Picks
All-out efforts to save lives |
Liaoning: China's oceangoing giant |
Poultry industry under pressure |
'Spring' in the air for NGOs? |
Boy set to drive Chinese golf |
Latest technology gets people talking |